PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2025cathyz

0xaa6420df7d5fcf804bf139996c83f04418c7c13f

Realised P&L
$-0.45
Volume
$192.06
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$2.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? · No0.9000.870$0.97−$0.03
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? · Yes0.9880.920$0.93−$0.07
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? · Yes0.6400.091$0.14−$0.86
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 04:38LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
08-21 12:44Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
08-06 12:16Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
07-24 12:05Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
06-22 07:06Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?BUY0.63$1.00
06-20 11:21Poznan (Doubles): Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Cervantes/MolchanovBUY0.99$1.00
06-17 13:26Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.6$1.00
06-14 04:33Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4$1.00
06-04 05:50Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
06-04 05:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.9549999952$1.00
05-19 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?BUY0.7$1.00
05-13 03:55Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?BUY0.987999996$1.00
03-12 02:15Iran leadership change by March 31?SELL0.2109998532$1.05
03-10 01:50Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.5$10.00
03-09 14:40Iran leadership change by March 31?BUY0.32$1.60