PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tugoserya

0xaa63b948bf45a6927ded61c850affc2d263b1546

Realised P&L
$7.15
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$175.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? · Yes0.9640.982$55.76+$0.99
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.930$53.11−$0.57
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9730.970$52.48−$0.19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · No0.9610.282$14.10−$33.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-08 08:09Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.99$19.80