PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaa61147870761D9c5Aa716383b0B0D5C9FbCFbCB-1775591712372

0xaa61147870761d9c5aa716383b0b0d5c9fbcfbcb

Realised P&L
$-99.31
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$10.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.145$4.53−$0.47
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? · Yes0.0470.032$3.37−$1.63
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · No0.8200.850$1.04+$0.04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.595$0.98−$0.02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.052$0.88−$0.12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0070.000$0.00−$111.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 3? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 2? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3? · Yes0.2810.000$0.00−$2.00
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 · Over0.1000.000$0.00−$16.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 11:39Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?BUY0.0468010968$5.00
10-17 11:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$5.00
10-16 21:34US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.959$1.04
10-16 20:42Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.13$1.08
10-15 21:31Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-15 21:30US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.9199995952$1.00
10-15 21:30Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-15 21:29Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?BUY0.8199994588$1.00
10-15 21:22Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
07-05 17:02Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5BUY0.1$16.00
07-01 11:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
07-01 11:49Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 2?BUY0.3299999296$3.00
07-01 11:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?BUY0.289999964$5.00
07-01 11:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?BUY0.359999977$5.00
07-01 11:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?BUY0.2299999692$5.00