0xaa61147870761D9c5Aa716383b0B0D5C9FbCFbCB-1775591712372
0xaa61147870761d9c5aa716383b0b0d5c9fbcfbcb
- Realised P&L
- $-99.31
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $10.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.24at 0.270Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$8.73at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?
- +$7.92at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3?
- +$7.47at 0.836Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
- +$7.12at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 11:39 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | BUY | 0.0468010968 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 11:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 21:34 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.959 | $1.04 |
| 10-16 20:42 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.08 |
| 10-15 21:31 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:30 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:30 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:29 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:22 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 17:02 | Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $16.00 |
| 07-01 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |