PolyBot

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Traders

0xaa522fe8386051a014157e40bdbae406cb5a8524

0xaa522fe8386051a014157e40bdbae406cb5a8524

Realised P&L
$111.19
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$7.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.013$2.17+$1.17
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5341.000$1.87+$0.87
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · Yes0.0260.014$1.63−$1.37
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No0.9400.979$1.04+$0.04
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0360.035$0.96−$0.04
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1380.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00−$2.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 15:24Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2919999501$1.17
10-26 15:24Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0659999985$2.00
10-18 21:29Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-05 18:12Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
09-04 15:56Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.6699998437$3.00
09-04 15:53Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.005999994$1.00
09-03 02:30Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
09-03 02:271st Half Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)BUY0.1399998824$1.00
09-02 12:23Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.84$1.00
09-02 12:22Will Yunnan Yukun win on 2026-09-02?BUY0.5$1.00
09-02 12:20Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0145866035$1.47
09-02 12:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$1.47
09-02 12:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.50
09-02 12:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008999991$1.00
08-23 15:53Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.6499999025$2.00