0xAa4aBfc01446f52179e053e7e3583De450b2AD2f-1778288310894
0xaa4abfc01446f52179e053e7e3583de450b2ad2f
- Realised P&L
- $-460.08
- Volume
- $132.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,434
- Open portfolio
- $59.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,434
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.39at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$40.15at 0.025Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$37.41at 0.027Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$36.01at 0.028Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?
- +$28.94at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15? | BUY | 0.026999973 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.0469999569 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.036999963 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.0769999348 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.0620676865 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 17:52 | Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 14? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.0590190493 | $1.00 |