PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xingsha

0xaa3b28f41f1017aadd2258e4cb9bd2a11aa0aea3

Realised P&L
$-250.08
Volume
$123.9k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$40.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1470.543$27.18+$19.82
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5300.820$8.20+$2.90
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0400.027$2.70$1.30
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · Yes0.3600.125$2.50$4.70
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$4.50
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe · Rinky Hijikata0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic · Marie Bouzkova0.5100.000$0.00$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 17:02Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?BUY0.36$7.20
06-11 07:54HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna VekicBUY0.51$2.55
01-17 09:49Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.53$5.30
01-17 09:46Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.91$9.10
01-11 01:58Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.67$6.70
01-03 12:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.147$14.70
12-27 09:05Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.18$14.14
12-11 13:20Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.49$4.90
12-11 13:20MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.61$6.10
12-11 13:19Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.67$6.70
12-06 13:42Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?SELL0.05755$5.75
12-06 13:42Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?BUY0.62$18.60
12-06 13:40Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?SELL0.93$9.30
11-29 14:13Sharks vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.27$2.70
11-10 12:15Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.16$16.00