PolyBot

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Traders

0xaa299438ca381a9be252399f427a690bb2ec8603

0xaa299438ca381a9be252399f427a690bb2ec8603

Realised P&L
$-7.20
Volume
$82.32
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$4.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.955$2.26+$0.77
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4000.525$1.96+$0.47
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.015$0.06$1.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 22:29Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4$1.49
09-19 07:29Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999106$1.49
09-03 22:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.3499999178$1.49
09-01 01:26Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.6699995818$1.49
09-01 01:26Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?BUY0.4$1.49
08-30 17:22Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.459999895$1.49
08-29 08:47Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.74$1.48
08-24 20:48Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.6199996338$1.49
08-24 09:52Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.2099998915$1.49
08-24 01:37Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.459999895$1.49
08-23 07:46Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?BUY0.5099999418$1.49
08-22 12:40GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4699999464$1.49
08-21 07:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.7899997561$1.49
08-20 23:42Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $352.50 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.4099998762$1.49
08-20 14:26Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.6869998787$1.49