PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zd88888

0xaa0d9fc257809cff8f121d238561d58c1c5ac48c

Realised P&L
$55.43
Volume
$40.6k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9820.992$3.1k+$30.31
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.9790.999$580.45+$11.45
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.982$490.75+$10.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9750.987$470.18+$5.72
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9800.990$428.84+$4.12
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9780.989$418.75+$4.60
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9260.958$390.88+$12.88
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · No0.9180.978$122.40+$7.40
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9540.974$107.08+$2.15
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No0.8400.900$71.26+$4.75
Will STRC hit $100 by June 30? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 01:51Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.978$266.99
08-14 01:50Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.977$147.16
08-14 01:50Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.98$424.72
07-02 06:14Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.998$828.34
07-02 06:13Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.98$456.99
07-02 06:12Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.932$186.40
07-02 06:11Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.975$464.46
06-21 05:57Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9817196622$3.0k
06-21 05:54Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.84$66.51
06-21 05:52Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?BUY0.998$199.60
06-21 05:30Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.974$112.01
06-21 05:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?BUY0.998$199.60
06-21 05:28Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$480.00
05-31 07:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.4699999932$25.00
05-31 07:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.4791766605$41.55