zd88888
0xaa0d9fc257809cff8f121d238561d58c1c5ac48c
- Realised P&L
- $55.43
- Volume
- $40.6k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.992 | $3.1k | +$30.31 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.999 | $580.45 | +$11.45 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.982 | $490.75 | +$10.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.987 | $470.18 | +$5.72 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.990 | $428.84 | +$4.12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.978 | 0.989 | $418.75 | +$4.60 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.926 | 0.958 | $390.88 | +$12.88 |
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · No | 0.918 | 0.978 | $122.40 | +$7.40 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.954 | 0.974 | $107.08 | +$2.15 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.900 | $71.26 | +$4.75 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by June 30? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$805.53at 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$106.31at 0.790Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
- +$98.00at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
- +$95.57at 0.977Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$82.03at 0.958Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 01:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $266.99 |
| 08-14 01:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $147.16 |
| 08-14 01:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $424.72 |
| 07-02 06:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $828.34 |
| 07-02 06:13 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $456.99 |
| 07-02 06:12 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.932 | $186.40 |
| 07-02 06:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $464.46 |
| 06-21 05:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9817196622 | $3.0k |
| 06-21 05:54 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $66.51 |
| 06-21 05:52 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 06-21 05:30 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $112.01 |
| 06-21 05:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 06-21 05:28 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 05-31 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999932 | $25.00 |
| 05-31 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.4791766605 | $41.55 |