Happy-Go-Lucky-Garb-Fellow
0xa9f93e8d437250e5c7f06c8a413bd3b6ba704066
- Realised P&L
- $29.27
- Volume
- $224.69
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $26.56
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.850 | $11.04 | +$1.04 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.560 | $8.12 | −$1.88 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.645 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Vietnam win on 2026-11-11? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.790 | $2.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.07at 0.343Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$8.29at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$3.17at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$3.04at 0.62376ers vs. Hornets
- +$2.86at 0.640Panthers vs. Packers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:57 | 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.619999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 14:08 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.9879999502 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 10:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 10-30 01:21 | Panthers vs. Packers | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 01:21 | Will Vietnam win on 2026-11-11? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 15:21 | ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9699998448 | $6.00 |
| 10-29 06:07 | Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3260869423 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 04:03 | Warriors vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 13:54 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 13:53 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 06:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 00:56 | Commanders vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 05:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9599999232 | $4.00 |