PolyBot

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Traders

Blue-moon

0xa9dd5a6eced2c44e4e51f63f8a24a156958e6d2e

Realised P&L
$6.5k
Volume
$686.4k
Markets traded
296
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded296
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8000.835$1.2k+$48.97
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · Yes0.9801.000$1.1k+$22.22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.9771.000$798.00+$18.75
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No0.9870.988$594.39+$0.40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9840.988$318.12+$1.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · Yes0.9400.940$199.05+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 22:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.9855909915$210.90
05-28 20:20Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.998$152.03
05-28 20:18Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.998$174.37
05-25 20:09Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?SELL0.988$171.00
05-25 13:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.81$5.67
05-04 20:35US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.92$92.00
05-04 20:34Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?SELL0.92$617.32
05-02 22:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.93$73.47
05-02 22:46Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?BUY0.94$93.06
05-02 22:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.82$326.36
05-02 22:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.96$382.08
05-02 22:40US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?BUY0.976$55.67
05-02 22:39US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.91$362.18
05-02 22:39Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.93$185.07
05-01 15:36Iran leadership change by May 31?SELL0.92$183.08