PolyBot

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Traders

0xa9be749199ca04b2c8b25790cdbf4c197f437df9

0xa9be749199ca04b2c8b25790cdbf4c197f437df9

Realised P&L
$-11.50
Volume
$98.71
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$3.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.4200.225$1.07−$0.93
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.7100.705$0.99−$0.01
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.520$0.93−$0.07
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.2210.134$0.60−$0.40
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.7900.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 19:01Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-09 10:39Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 02:38Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.220999994$1.00
10-07 17:59Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-07 09:53Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-07 01:53Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 17:51Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-02 05:29Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-01 15:38Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-24 11:46Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?BUY0.7699995842$1.00
08-13 14:03Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-13 06:02US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.25$2.00
08-12 21:22US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-12 13:16Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
08-12 05:15Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.4299999505$2.00