b4ou
0xa9be20fddf2da33ec822a643de3a96376fbb5c6f
- Realised P&L
- $-40.31
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $84.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.87at 0.153Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10?
- +$24.38at 0.176Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 10?
- +$22.85at 0.185Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26?
- +$18.10at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?
- +$17.76at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-20 08:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3399999314 | $1.09 |
| 10-20 08:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-20 08:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-20 08:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-20 08:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.8199999931 | $9.54 |
| 10-20 08:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.6099999978 | $8.20 |
| 10-20 07:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.1899999981 | $3.02 |
| 10-18 23:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 10:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.3399999744 | $2.66 |
| 10-18 10:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.80 |
| 10-18 10:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.6899999901 | $8.35 |
| 10-18 10:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4699999736 | $5.88 |
| 10-18 09:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.13 |
| 10-18 08:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.8599999946 | $9.54 |