shepesh
0xa98249c319c035b72092163c557969ed3493ceff
- Realised P&L
- $802.35
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $87.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.98at 0.640Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
- +$148.74at 0.072Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$116.16at 0.610Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$81.66at 0.380Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in September?
- +$73.43at 0.060Will Madagascar win on 2025-11-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:33 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.9425216522 | $108.39 |
| 10-27 18:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.22 | $8.46 |
| 10-26 14:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 02:56 | Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5489021901 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 02:37 | Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3311802892 | $123.46 |
| 09-22 17:49 | Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 17:41 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.59 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.45 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 21:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 10:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 16:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $197.25 |
| 07-07 16:17 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 05-30 15:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 10:53 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $139.72 |