PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gh789

0xa96ae84591a9d0cf734294b70404fd4c1449dd9f

Realised P&L
$-353.85
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$54.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2510.045$17.63$80.67
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0570.052$10.50$0.90
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.3000.140$9.33$10.67
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2400.047$6.11$25.09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5920.085$5.88$35.12
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$3.26$6.23
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.018$1.98$13.42
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$20.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes0.6640.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$20.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? · Yes0.3680.000$0.00$229.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 03:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.185$12.58
07-01 03:02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.332$12.10
07-01 03:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1$9.69
07-01 03:01Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.2368172727$26.05
07-01 02:58US military draft authorized in 2026?SELL0.0705074$7.05
07-01 02:58 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?SELL0.95$12.18
07-01 02:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.994$159.04
06-24 10:35Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1919999796$7.00
06-24 10:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1469999894$10.00
06-24 10:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1389999862$10.00
06-23 00:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.52$20.80
06-23 00:26Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.057$11.40
06-23 00:23Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$21.00
06-21 05:13Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0676680813$10.00
06-21 05:04Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.2780416599$30.00