PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ningmenghua

0xa96660165d481c258491e42cc658b6e469653336

Realised P&L
$-4.20
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$42.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · No0.9981.000$13.00+$0.03
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9580.973$12.64+$0.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9901.000$11.99+$0.12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9840.975$2.97$0.03
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? · No0.9400.815$1.73$0.27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · No0.9300.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 07:15Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.984$3.00
07-30 07:13Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9299997768$2.00
07-30 07:12Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?BUY0.94$2.00
06-23 06:23Will Solana reach $160 in June?BUY0.999$65.00
06-23 06:18 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.9639999866$2.30
06-23 06:16Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8299999585$1.20
05-31 06:36Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.77$1.19
05-31 06:36Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.945$4.00
05-31 06:35Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?BUY0.985$15.00
05-01 04:28Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?BUY0.9$3.00
05-01 04:26Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?BUY0.9$1.00
05-01 04:20Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?BUY0.9$2.00
02-26 21:28Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.8999996143$1.40
02-26 21:27US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?BUY0.9889999448$10.00
12-26 04:51Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$82.00