pseudonomen137
0xa95bbeea96a93adcc0b2fcdffa3e29839b876927
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $88.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $270.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.06at 0.170Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$306.22at 0.662First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$192.10at 0.050Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$164.38at 0.060Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$102.02at 0.831Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-17 08:26 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569922659 | $500.00 |
| 02-17 08:24 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February? | BUY | 0.7499999972 | $200.00 |
| 02-17 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 02-17 08:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | BUY | 0.4043659612 | $100.00 |
| 02-16 18:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 17? | BUY | 0.8833746893 | $200.00 |
| 02-16 05:19 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? | BUY | 0.97 | $1000.00 |
| 02-16 05:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16? | BUY | 0.8710197858 | $200.00 |
| 02-16 05:15 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9824225809 | $5.0k |
| 02-15 22:51 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $500.00 |
| 02-10 05:48 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $500.00 |
| 02-10 05:48 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $1000.00 |
| 02-04 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.099950025 | $100.00 |
| 01-27 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.010817677 | $18.72 |
| 01-24 07:52 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0926923063 | $100.00 |
| 01-21 07:48 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1155586756 | $200.00 |