PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pseudonomen137

0xa95bbeea96a93adcc0b2fcdffa3e29839b876927

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$88.1k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$270.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1620.096$235.10−$164.90
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2450.055$22.46−$77.54
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3790.050$13.18−$86.82
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? · Up0.4040.000$0.00−$100.00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$500.00
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$15.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$100.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$111.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.3310.000$0.00−$235.28
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 3? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1790.000$0.00−$20.00
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1170.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-17 08:26US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.9569922659$500.00
02-17 08:24Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?BUY0.7499999972$200.00
02-17 08:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17?BUY0.95$100.00
02-17 08:20S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?BUY0.4043659612$100.00
02-16 18:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 17?BUY0.8833746893$200.00
02-16 05:19Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?BUY0.97$1000.00
02-16 05:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16?BUY0.8710197858$200.00
02-16 05:15Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.9824225809$5.0k
02-15 22:51US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999997$500.00
02-10 05:48US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.7799999997$500.00
02-10 05:48US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY0.9399999992$1000.00
02-04 07:42Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?BUY0.099950025$100.00
01-27 14:23Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?SELL0.010817677$18.72
01-24 07:52Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY0.0926923063$100.00
01-21 07:48Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY0.1155586756$200.00