houseru
0xa91e35fabb109ceee01ef8b7aec7c8cec9924e7f
- Realised P&L
- $-706.82
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $17.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $9.05 | −$114.59 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $6.49 | −$64.61 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $1.30 | −$14.26 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $0.44 | −$17.07 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$1.80 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.44 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$262.38 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$195.67 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 10:06 | Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | BUY | 0.0438767421 | $94.42 |
| 03-10 14:15 | Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | BUY | 0.1273410253 | $112.02 |
| 03-10 14:12 | Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | BUY | 0.1267615 | $50.70 |
| 03-07 13:47 | Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 03-07 13:47 | Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | BUY | 0.13 | $57.37 |
| 03-07 13:46 | Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | BUY | 0.12 | $106.70 |
| 03-07 13:46 | Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | BUY | 0.0360350033 | $32.94 |
| 02-26 01:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $28.34 |
| 02-16 06:17 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $105.09 |
| 02-16 06:12 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $13.01 |
| 02-16 06:05 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $24.00 |
| 02-16 06:04 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.90 |
| 02-16 06:04 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $17.51 |
| 02-16 06:03 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $15.56 |
| 02-16 06:03 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $18.56 |