KimberlyRobles1139
0xa906721238942bd9029ec9af68ac831af93084e4
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $295.5k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $51.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.045 | $26.28 | −$73.00 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.130 | $22.49 | −$15.57 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.962 | $2.89 | +$2.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.74at 0.260Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
- +$448.34at 0.420Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
- +$380.50at 0.750South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotes
- +$314.09at 0.510Solana Up or Down - February 16, 10PM ET
- +$249.83at 0.690Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 08:57 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 04-09 09:51 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.61 | $107.36 |
| 04-09 09:48 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.61 | $441.64 |
| 04-08 01:42 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | BUY | 0.61 | $549.00 |
| 03-30 14:04 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $34.41 |
| 03-30 13:44 | Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $164.78 |
| 03-30 08:46 | Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $166.92 |
| 03-30 04:27 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.38 | $35.34 |
| 03-26 08:24 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $14.58 |
| 03-26 08:23 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $25.92 |
| 03-25 18:46 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.67 | $424.11 |
| 03-25 06:27 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 03-25 04:40 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $405.12 |
| 03-24 06:29 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | SELL | 0.43 | $304.01 |
| 03-24 06:27 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | SELL | 0.43 | $123.84 |