PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

20sur20

0xa8fe4df8eb44179105b05b712b9fa7bcd81f4474

Realised P&L
$-390.79
Volume
$1.45M
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.839$3.8k+$1.5k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.162$727.72$1.5k
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3780.345$655.50$63.50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2870.245$465.50$80.49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5120.512$341.33+$0.33
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5900.655$0.96+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:30Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.35$1.75
09-02 18:43Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?SELL0.9$45.00
08-27 05:45Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.59$6.15
08-15 09:43Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.59$3.30
08-11 12:41Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.59$48.97
08-11 12:40Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.58$62.06
08-10 05:17Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?SELL0.28$2.96
08-06 17:24Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?SELL0.47$15.21
08-06 17:23Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?SELL0.5$19.04
07-27 20:14Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.249$99.60
07-27 08:15Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.202$22.22
07-23 13:51Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.43$56.36
07-23 08:28Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.267$4.00
07-22 14:02Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?SELL0.55$28.05
07-22 14:01Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?SELL0.52$26.00