PolyBot

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Traders

windscreenwipers

0xa8f3ff25788c68f6657c0e46690b0be223cfe544

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$1.92M
Markets traded
7,224
Open portfolio
$8.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,224
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4860.545$743.71+$80.53
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5030.545$719.39+$54.76
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4770.595$627.72+$124.73
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3900.575$370.88+$119.33
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4200.595$357.00+$105.00
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2520.325$325.00+$73.40
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.705$285.52+$34.42
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.7230.825$284.38+$35.16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8000.885$278.77+$26.77
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3840.395$258.72+$7.23
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.325$221.00$30.60
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5850.487$209.63$41.92
Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No0.8900.835$208.75$13.75
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17? · No0.4601.000$199.90+$107.90
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.8800.952$190.40+$14.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:00Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.46$92.00
09-14 21:05Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.12$0.60
09-14 16:24Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.37$74.00
09-13 20:15Seattle Mariners vs. AthleticsBUY0.51$25.50
09-13 17:41Spread: Steelers (-5.5)BUY0.63$126.00
09-13 17:12Ravens vs. ColtsBUY0.53$53.00
09-12 19:19Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5BUY0.51$19.89
09-12 15:59Spread: Wake Forest (-3.5)BUY0.57$99.75
09-12 15:59Spread: East Carolina (-6.5)BUY0.52$53.04
09-12 15:44Spread: Wake Forest (-3.5)BUY0.56$14.05
09-12 15:37South Florida vs. Army: O/U 46.5BUY0.53$5.09
09-12 14:12Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.41$82.00
09-12 12:39Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Cardiff City FC end in a draw?BUY0.37$74.00
09-11 23:44Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5BUY0.55$55.00
09-11 23:44Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5BUY0.47$47.00