HimuraKenshin
0xa8d4877be3235dd6e1a0d2f43a64ee30bb1b0a2f
- Realised P&L
- $-187.89
- Volume
- $35.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $542.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$634.12at 0.583Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
- +$280.92at 0.595Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
- +$124.50at 0.302Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$114.00at 0.450Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$102.00at 0.490Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:40 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $54.00 |
| 07-18 17:54 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $48.16 |
| 07-13 12:16 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.28 |
| 07-13 10:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 07-06 10:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 07-01 13:49 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $9.94 |
| 07-01 13:48 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $11.18 |
| 06-25 08:41 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 06-18 17:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 06-17 18:32 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 06-15 15:53 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 06-15 07:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 06-13 19:08 | Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | SELL | 0.995 | $5.97 |
| 06-13 07:57 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 06-13 05:22 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.40 |