PolyBot

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Traders

yuanzhang

0xa8c3baa7a95a0e998942cd54106c86a7c6a97dd2

Realised P&L
$-8.3k
Volume
$349.8k
Markets traded
503
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded503
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8470.945$243.89+$25.41
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.6250.985$197.09+$71.92
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.8010.994$192.28+$37.24
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6470.935$151.03+$46.48
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? · No0.8410.959$98.56+$12.18
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.7550.885$52.22+$7.67
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.7550.895$45.66+$7.13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.7060.050$29.64$393.44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.4550.150$26.85$54.51
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1950.070$16.90$30.44
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2320.053$15.82$52.70
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.815$13.08+$3.13
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.3200.155$8.97$9.55
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? · No0.4100.950$5.03+$2.86
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7340.989$3.97+$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.6499999675$5.00
06-27 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.64$5.00
06-27 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
06-27 16:34Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.0884955752$5.00
06-27 16:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
06-27 16:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
06-27 16:22Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.75$25.00
06-27 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.699999972$5.00
06-27 16:20Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
06-27 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.6699999973$25.00
06-27 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.91$5.00
06-27 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.8302200083$5.00
06-27 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.8299999967$5.00
06-27 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.8$5.00
06-27 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.7699999877$5.00