PolyBot

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Traders

317xi

0xa8bf49faa5d0374d6ef2af2854b7ebd3d5f01cb1

Realised P&L
$-215.95
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$47.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1340.035$29.56$85.37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5620.165$18.38$44.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-25 21:33US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.1$50.00
04-25 21:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.32$51.20
04-07 20:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5314507056$52.59
04-07 18:29US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.1899999978$60.00
04-07 18:28US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?SELL0.79$111.84
04-06 17:33US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.8899999966$126.00
04-05 11:03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
04-05 08:12US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.998$57.77
04-05 08:12US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.998$168.97
03-27 17:10US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.7$49.88
03-27 17:09US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.16$49.88
03-26 02:32US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5899999938$34.16
03-26 02:32US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
03-15 04:44US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.1199999806$4.94
03-15 04:40Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0569999894$5.00