dr__crypto
0xa86c146487a581e8499764bf9664dbbd1af4daff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $113.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $121.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.512 | $64.43 | −$0.94 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $21.43 | −$278.57 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.428 | 0.080 | $18.58 | −$81.42 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.162 | $16.58 | −$5.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$902.81at 0.282Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$317.66at 0.581Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$266.05at 0.370Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
- +$76.93at 0.260Trump wins every swing state?
- +$7.92at 0.899Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 20:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2119999928 | $21.77 |
| 04-09 20:16 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $18.45 |
| 01-22 17:48 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $65.37 |
| 01-22 17:47 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4278606945 | $100.00 |
| 11-19 02:11 | Will Ethereum reach $3,700 November 17-23? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 11-19 02:04 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | BUY | 0.0745851203 | $10.00 |
| 11-19 01:59 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0126853068 | $26.00 |
| 11-19 01:53 | Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025? | BUY | 0.0339999936 | $5.00 |
| 11-19 01:51 | U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? | BUY | 0.0550373034 | $5.00 |
| 11-19 00:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.22 |
| 11-19 00:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.0172503145 | $5.07 |
| 11-08 07:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 11-08 07:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.0699999754 | $2.50 |
| 11-08 07:21 | GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999941 | $11.00 |
| 11-08 07:20 | Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | BUY | 0.0545627994 | $11.00 |