penguinez
0xa86b0c67f0495e2d8b13e8c81e9134db9bcaa5ec
- Realised P&L
- $-239.67
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $227.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.41at 0.373Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
- +$26.56at 0.450Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
- +$7.50at 0.400GTA 6 launch postponed again?
- +$5.20at 0.382Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$1.95at 0.770Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.54 | $21.60 |
| 09-04 12:31 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $108.27 |
| 08-26 21:20 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $17.55 |
| 08-16 02:19 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $19.35 |
| 08-13 14:58 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.057 | $5.70 |
| 08-12 12:28 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $53.80 |
| 08-12 12:28 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $74.64 |
| 08-11 01:02 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.063 | $6.30 |
| 08-08 03:29 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $14.44 |
| 08-07 03:15 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.067 | $6.42 |
| 08-06 15:05 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.3539979993 | $10.62 |
| 08-06 12:00 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.7920792079 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 09:07 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 09:07 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 02:36 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.095 | $4.75 |