0xA837c66CF7114f3368F30008a5CE8adD14D134Ea-1773326930922
0xa837c66cf7114f3368f30008a5ce8add14d134ea
- Realised P&L
- $48.20
- Volume
- $70.1k
- Markets traded
- 304
- Open portfolio
- $76.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded304
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.83at 0.108Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$80.53at 0.022Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
- +$76.77at 0.790Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$23.72at 0.010Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-08-03?
- +$19.00at 0.050Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:50 | Weed rescheduled by September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.21 |
| 09-19 07:06 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.32 |
| 09-18 20:50 | Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.80 |
| 09-18 20:33 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.96 |
| 09-16 22:47 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:45 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.341 | $5.76 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.5774547069 | $9.75 |
| 09-15 21:19 | Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-14 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.93 |
| 09-14 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 09-14 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 09-14 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.72 |
| 09-14 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 16:39 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.64 |