0xA837c66CF7114f3368F30008a5CE8adD14D134Ea-1773326930922
0xa837c66cf7114f3368f30008a5ce8add14d134ea
- Realised P&L
- $17.53
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $16.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.18at 0.106Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$80.53at 0.022Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
- +$76.77at 0.790Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$13.15at 0.010Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-08-03?
- +$9.10at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-08-03? | SELL | 0.51 | $13.42 |
| 08-04 05:38 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0332 | $3.32 |
| 08-04 05:24 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.27 |
| 08-02 10:54 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 08-01 21:44 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 06:23 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.299 | $5.98 |
| 07-30 23:42 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 07-30 23:40 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 07-30 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 07-30 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 07-29 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.00110002 | $0.11 |
| 07-29 13:19 | Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28? | SELL | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 07-28 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |