PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x0a6c5683c69f3b7608C40ee7fc9d2087a20378C7-1777624430450

0xa82edb4031fb8446e0b5d254e66326b465a3a2fe

Realised P&L
$-4.60
Volume
$399.53
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$30.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5? · Yes0.6400.775$6.05+$1.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5? · Yes0.8980.959$5.34+$0.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6? · Yes0.9100.950$5.22+$0.22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4? · Yes0.9470.918$4.85−$0.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7? · Yes0.9300.940$4.73+$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? · Yes0.8940.958$4.28+$0.28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$1.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 17? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7?BUY0.929999998$4.68
10-31 02:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3?BUY0.8939999861$4.00
10-30 16:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?BUY0.64$5.00
10-30 16:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?BUY0.91$5.00
10-30 02:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5?BUY0.8979999896$5.00
10-29 11:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?BUY0.9469999981$5.00
10-26 05:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?BUY0.9329999903$5.00
10-26 05:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
10-24 16:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?BUY0.906$2.00
10-23 10:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
10-23 05:44US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.9829999994$10.00
10-22 20:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.94$2.00
10-22 16:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.95$4.00
10-22 15:38Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
10-22 10:02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?SELL0.87$1.04