PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

8-800-555-35-35

0xa81ae45ea7e69a400ac8319d6f6232aa067a7dfa

Realised P&L
$-114.70
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$103.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026? · No0.8900.820$23.03−$1.97
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes0.9000.900$21.60+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2? · Yes0.1700.185$13.06+$1.06
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 1, 2026? · No0.9100.965$12.73+$0.73
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? · No0.9400.965$11.58+$0.30
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.9590.947$11.36−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1? · Yes0.1550.130$10.06−$1.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1? · Yes0.0080.001$0.08−$1.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 23:42Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.959$11.51
09-30 23:40US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.9$21.60
09-30 23:34Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.28$33.32
09-30 23:13US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?BUY0.94$11.28
09-30 23:11Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.31$36.89
09-30 23:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.17$12.00
09-30 23:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.1549664083$11.99
09-30 22:44Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.3298807255$46.74
09-30 22:42Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?SELL0.46$12.77
09-30 10:23Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1?SELL0.0011525461$1.25
09-30 10:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
09-30 10:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1?BUY0.0080186996$10.00
09-30 10:05Will Trump name an AI czar by October 1, 2026?BUY0.9099999992$12.00
09-30 10:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 1?SELL0.0874228103$4.16
09-30 02:13Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 30?SELL0.43$11.21