8-800-555-35-35
0xa81ae45ea7e69a400ac8319d6f6232aa067a7dfa
- Realised P&L
- $-114.70
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $103.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.820 | $23.03 | −$1.97 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.900 | $21.60 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.185 | $13.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 1, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.965 | $12.73 | +$0.73 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? · No | 0.940 | 0.965 | $11.58 | +$0.30 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No | 0.959 | 0.947 | $11.36 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.130 | $10.06 | −$1.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$1.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.77at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30?
- +$19.38at 0.340Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?
- +$12.67at 0.196Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?
- +$12.20at 0.450Suns vs. Celtics
- +$12.10at 0.353Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:42 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.959 | $11.51 |
| 09-30 23:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $21.60 |
| 09-30 23:34 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.28 | $33.32 |
| 09-30 23:13 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.28 |
| 09-30 23:11 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.31 | $36.89 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.17 | $12.00 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1549664083 | $11.99 |
| 09-30 22:44 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.3298807255 | $46.74 |
| 09-30 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.46 | $12.77 |
| 09-30 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1? | SELL | 0.0011525461 | $1.25 |
| 09-30 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on October 1? | BUY | 0.0080186996 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 10:05 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $12.00 |
| 09-30 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.0874228103 | $4.16 |
| 09-30 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.43 | $11.21 |