JasonX8
0xa7ee744810583c120259fbd6320c1ffe48d62104
- Realised P&L
- $-9.83
- Volume
- $634.94
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $75.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.965 | $25.16 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.895 | $20.63 | +$0.35 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.449 | $13.62 | −$0.08 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $5.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.034 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.475 | $4.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.08at 0.422Lions vs. Panthers
- +$0.48at 0.977Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$0.29at 0.776Dogecoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$0.23at 0.815Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$0.08at 0.930Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:02 | Lions vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.4199999659 | $3.69 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Lions vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.64 | $7.41 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 00:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.88 | $20.28 |
| 10-05 00:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.969999999 | $20.04 |
| 10-05 00:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:07 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0317546004 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 14:36 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 13:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0659999998 | $5.00 |