0xa7e5e835e5a616a00afe299966527e3b47a81a9f
0xa7e5e835e5a616a00afe299966527e3b47a81a9f
- Realised P&L
- $19.34
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $19.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.35at 0.070Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?
- +$33.60at 0.148Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?
- +$22.53at 0.216Trump wins every swing state?
- +$20.91at 0.032Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$19.57at 0.015Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:52 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.80 |
| 09-06 00:43 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0486486486 | $1.80 |
| 08-28 17:13 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0052388021 | $1.80 |
| 08-28 17:13 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0486459408 | $1.80 |
| 08-28 15:22 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1099999481 | $1.80 |
| 08-23 16:24 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.85 |
| 08-23 16:03 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 08-23 15:57 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0149999904 | $1.55 |
| 08-23 15:48 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-23 15:48 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-23 15:48 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-23 15:47 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-23 15:47 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 08-23 15:47 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 08-19 16:20 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.161052565 | $1.80 |