0x998b15b43cdfa68
0xa7d0d6c5673c2eace310b621c9f328cf940f88f6
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $88.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,570
- Open portfolio
- $955.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,570
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$920.42at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?
- +$399.91at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$395.52at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$296.26at 0.677Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 6?
- +$205.06at 0.298Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:14 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $40.00 |
| 09-13 12:31 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 09-13 11:49 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 11:37 | Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? | BUY | 0.546357615 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 13:49 | Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0386327365 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 13:31 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | SELL | 0.06 | $3.60 |
| 09-12 13:26 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 13:16 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $60.00 |
| 09-12 09:01 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.0509999991 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 06:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $400.00 |
| 09-12 06:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 08-25 15:35 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 15:35 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 07:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 07:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |