PolyBot

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Traders

lele1125

0xa7bfe5736257a3a42a6e229552a62882fe19e441

Realised P&L
$-12.0k
Volume
$376.3k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$37.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4370.015$37.58$1.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No0.3290.000$0.00$195.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? · No0.7000.000$0.00$70.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.8370.000$0.00$2.7k
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No0.7540.000$0.00$1.2k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1? · No0.8000.000$0.00$800.00
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July? · No0.2700.000$0.00$100.00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2AM ET · Down0.2340.000$0.00$5.85
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$194.73
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10? · No0.3900.000$0.00$300.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$617.92
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7820.000$0.00$1.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5? · No0.4450.000$0.00$1.2k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2? · No0.4500.000$0.00$66.25
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? · No0.6500.000$0.00$390.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 03:33Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?SELL0.993$726.58
08-18 03:25Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?BUY0.6499999993$262.48
08-12 14:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?SELL0.9011904408$302.81
08-12 09:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.4099999969$50.00
08-12 09:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?BUY0.5453808062$300.00
08-12 03:32Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.8199999998$600.00
08-05 15:16Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?SELL0.981$548.38
08-05 11:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?BUY0.959999999$695.00
08-05 06:40Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?BUY0.7$3.50
08-04 22:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?BUY0.7899999934$100.00
08-04 22:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?BUY0.7899999995$800.00
08-04 13:52Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?BUY0.8099999994$95.81
08-04 13:26Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2041045664$204.44
08-04 13:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4?BUY0.9103873414$1.5k
08-03 04:03Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.999$699.30