lele1125
0xa7bfe5736257a3a42a6e229552a62882fe19e441
- Realised P&L
- $-12.0k
- Volume
- $376.3k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $37.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.790Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
- +$1.8kat 0.814US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.590 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.662Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$1.1kat 0.532Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 03:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | SELL | 0.993 | $726.58 |
| 08-18 03:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.6499999993 | $262.48 |
| 08-12 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12? | SELL | 0.9011904408 | $302.81 |
| 08-12 09:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-12 09:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.5453808062 | $300.00 |
| 08-12 03:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $600.00 |
| 08-05 15:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | SELL | 0.981 | $548.38 |
| 08-05 11:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.959999999 | $695.00 |
| 08-05 06:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-04 22:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.7899999934 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 22:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.7899999995 | $800.00 |
| 08-04 13:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.8099999994 | $95.81 |
| 08-04 13:26 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2041045664 | $204.44 |
| 08-04 13:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9103873414 | $1.5k |
| 08-03 04:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $699.30 |