PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa78342dA292Ad314cC972863818F414723330a48-1776782510398

0xa78342da292ad314cc972863818f414723330a48

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$99.3k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$107.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes0.6270.560$72.80−$8.74
Will Solana reach $150 in October? · Yes0.1200.125$12.74+$0.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · No0.8800.915$9.15+$0.35
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? · Yes0.1000.095$6.17−$0.33
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.8100.855$4.28+$0.23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · No0.5500.485$2.81−$0.38
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$72.82
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$6.55
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$162.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 16:15Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.89$90.78
10-01 16:15Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.89$5.34
10-01 16:14Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.89$90.78
10-01 16:13Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.89$24.92
10-01 15:04Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.855$3.42
10-01 15:04Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.855$3.42
10-01 13:53Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.63$5.04
10-01 11:41Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.55$3.19
09-29 12:34Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?BUY0.013$1.30
09-29 07:16Will Solana dip to $90 in September?SELL0.992$81.84
09-29 03:13Will Solana reach $140 in September?SELL0.994$94.43
09-29 03:12Will Solana reach $140 in September?SELL0.993$49.65
09-28 16:23Will Solana dip to $90 in September?SELL0.992$97.96
09-28 16:23Will Solana dip to $90 in September?SELL0.992$97.96
09-28 16:22Will Solana dip to $90 in September?SELL0.992$97.96