0xa78342dA292Ad314cC972863818F414723330a48-1776782510398
0xa78342da292ad314cc972863818f414723330a48
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $99.3k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $107.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.560 | $72.80 | −$8.74 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in October? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.125 | $12.74 | +$0.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · No | 0.880 | 0.915 | $9.15 | +$0.35 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in October? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $6.17 | −$0.33 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No | 0.810 | 0.855 | $4.28 | +$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · No | 0.550 | 0.485 | $2.81 | −$0.38 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.82 |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in September? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.55 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$162.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.256Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$342.34at 0.946Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$331.90at 0.187Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$301.97at 0.118Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$293.46at 0.916Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $90.78 |
| 10-01 16:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.34 |
| 10-01 16:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $90.78 |
| 10-01 16:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $24.92 |
| 10-01 15:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.855 | $3.42 |
| 10-01 15:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.855 | $3.42 |
| 10-01 13:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 10-01 11:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.19 |
| 09-29 12:34 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 09-29 07:16 | Will Solana dip to $90 in September? | SELL | 0.992 | $81.84 |
| 09-29 03:13 | Will Solana reach $140 in September? | SELL | 0.994 | $94.43 |
| 09-29 03:12 | Will Solana reach $140 in September? | SELL | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 09-28 16:23 | Will Solana dip to $90 in September? | SELL | 0.992 | $97.96 |
| 09-28 16:23 | Will Solana dip to $90 in September? | SELL | 0.992 | $97.96 |
| 09-28 16:22 | Will Solana dip to $90 in September? | SELL | 0.992 | $97.96 |