0xa7659b11438afd2c8833b7de307155b070a248ff
0xa7659b11438afd2c8833b7de307155b070a248ff
- Realised P&L
- $-106.28
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 659
- Open portfolio
- $24.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded659
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.45at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$7.05at 0.758Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$6.87at 0.448Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$6.55at 0.233Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$6.55at 0.233Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.8099999175 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.8899999837 | $1.09 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.4408908824 | $1.06 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2599999703 | $1.05 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.6799998817 | $1.61 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4299998742 | $1.06 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4599999653 | $1.06 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.7899998903 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.6999998704 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.85 |
| 09-25 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.23 |
| 09-25 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.7399998767 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4142935981 | $1.06 |
| 09-25 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.3299999191 | $1.06 |