ysgsu
0xa7651b4027b8846a72710329c4e9af230d7b2381
- Realised P&L
- $-20.76
- Volume
- $63.1k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $36.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.90at 0.873Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.60at 0.016Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.00at 0.007Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.90at 0.203Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:20 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 09:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.21 |
| 08-28 09:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.15 |
| 08-28 09:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8969999776 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 09:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 09:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 09:34 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549999992 | $6.00 |
| 08-28 09:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |