PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ysgsu

0xa7651b4027b8846a72710329c4e9af230d7b2381

Realised P&L
$-20.76
Volume
$63.1k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$36.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 14:20Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$3.00
09-29 14:18Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.95$2.00
09-29 14:18Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.8$1.00
09-29 14:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-29 14:18Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.859999914$1.00
09-29 14:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-29 14:172026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-29 14:172026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.7$1.00
08-28 09:36Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$10.21
08-28 09:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.86$3.15
08-28 09:35Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8969999776$1.00
08-28 09:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
08-28 09:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.98$5.00
08-28 09:34Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9549999992$6.00
08-28 09:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7099999432$1.00