Lord.Farquaad
0xa757f76d9611b8335bc0a668fc1734440ce6d062
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $42.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$979.30at 0.127Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?
- +$475.97at 0.048Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$331.65at 0.779Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$320.00at 0.680Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$270.00at 0.730Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 03:54 | Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.6734 | $202.02 |
| 09-26 03:53 | Will “Tu Sancho” by Fuerza Regida win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.30 |
| 09-26 03:52 | Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.2461928934 | $97.00 |
| 09-26 03:51 | Will “Is It a Crime” by Mariah the Scientist and Kali Uchis win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-26 03:50 | Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.515741 | $154.72 |
| 09-26 03:49 | Will “Homewrecker” by Sombr win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 09-26 03:48 | Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.516 | $51.60 |
| 09-26 03:46 | Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.049 | $9.80 |
| 09-26 03:46 | Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.04888362 | $24.44 |
| 09-26 03:45 | Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.276425 | $138.21 |
| 09-26 03:43 | Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.5 | $122.50 |
| 09-26 03:43 | Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.199 | $59.70 |
| 09-26 03:42 | Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.734883 | $146.98 |
| 09-26 03:41 | Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 09-14 23:53 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | SELL | 0.07205928 | $162.13 |