PolyBot

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Traders

Lord.Farquaad

0xa757f76d9611b8335bc0a668fc1734440ce6d062

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$42.1k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.6730.620$186.00−$16.02
Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.2760.345$172.50+$34.29
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.7350.700$140.00−$6.98
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.5000.540$132.30+$9.80
Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.5160.415$124.50−$30.22
Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.2460.300$118.20+$21.20
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.6500.595$59.50−$5.50
Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.5160.530$53.00+$1.40
Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.1990.160$48.00−$11.70
Will “Homewrecker” by Sombr win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.1100.075$37.50−$17.50
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.0490.045$31.50−$2.74
Will “Tu Sancho” by Fuerza Regida win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.0010.015$18.85+$17.55
Will “Is It a Crime” by Mariah the Scientist and Kali Uchis win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.0100.025$0.12+$0.07
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? · No0.3080.000$0.00−$34.43
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 03:54Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.6734$202.02
09-26 03:53Will “Tu Sancho” by Fuerza Regida win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.001$1.30
09-26 03:52Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.2461928934$97.00
09-26 03:51Will “Is It a Crime” by Mariah the Scientist and Kali Uchis win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.01$0.05
09-26 03:50Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.515741$154.72
09-26 03:49Will “Homewrecker” by Sombr win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.11$55.00
09-26 03:48Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.516$51.60
09-26 03:46Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.049$9.80
09-26 03:46Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.04888362$24.44
09-26 03:45Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.276425$138.21
09-26 03:43Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.5$122.50
09-26 03:43Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.199$59.70
09-26 03:42Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.734883$146.98
09-26 03:41Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.65$65.00
09-14 23:53Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?SELL0.07205928$162.13