Lolololol
0xa74581ebc457ca0ac679e6cb8851edc40c928ca6
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $130.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.953 | 0.960 | $50.6k | +$340.29 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.973 | $49.0k | +$344.58 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · No | 0.988 | 0.995 | $13.3k | +$88.95 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.891 | 0.995 | $6.8k | +$711.00 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.960 | $5.1k | +$77.68 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No | 0.949 | 0.967 | $3.9k | +$71.64 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · No | 0.874 | 0.975 | $1.1k | +$114.43 |
| GTA VI released by October 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.997 | $925.19 | +$33.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.953Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.859ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.944Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.899Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
- +$997.05at 0.939Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 22:13 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.968 | $43.48 |
| 10-07 19:24 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.974 | $989.90 |
| 10-05 06:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $2.1k |
| 10-05 06:26 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.975 | $7.0k |
| 10-03 07:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.69 |
| 10-03 07:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.8736836968 | $984.66 |
| 10-03 06:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $11.1k |
| 10-01 23:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.974 | $10.7k |
| 10-01 23:40 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.973 | $9.5k |
| 10-01 23:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9674309913 | $20.0k |
| 10-01 05:15 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.968 | $3.9k |
| 10-01 05:15 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9674276843 | $5.0k |
| 09-27 22:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9520536059 | $700.46 |
| 09-25 23:10 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $3.1k |
| 09-25 22:27 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.9465 | $94.65 |