PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lolololol

0xa74581ebc457ca0ac679e6cb8851edc40c928ca6

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$1.11M
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$130.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9530.960$50.6k+$340.29
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9660.973$49.0k+$344.58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · No0.9880.995$13.3k+$88.95
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8910.995$6.8k+$711.00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9450.960$5.1k+$77.68
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9490.967$3.9k+$71.64
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · No0.8740.975$1.1k+$114.43
GTA VI released by October 31? · No0.9600.997$925.19+$33.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 22:13Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.968$43.48
10-07 19:24Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.974$989.90
10-05 06:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.987$2.1k
10-05 06:26Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.975$7.0k
10-03 07:02Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.87$6.69
10-03 07:01Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.8736836968$984.66
10-03 06:43Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.988$11.1k
10-01 23:42Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.974$10.7k
10-01 23:40Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.973$9.5k
10-01 23:40Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9674309913$20.0k
10-01 05:15Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.968$3.9k
10-01 05:15Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9674276843$5.0k
09-27 22:25Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.9520536059$700.46
09-25 23:10Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.957$3.1k
09-25 22:27Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.9465$94.65