PolyBot

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Traders

0xa738a20c8733f00b87ab9633f331cd05b040a520

0xa738a20c8733f00b87ab9633f331cd05b040a520

Realised P&L
$84.53
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
612
Open portfolio
$365.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded612
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 03:29Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.77$6.62
09-22 03:28Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.7599999586$3.67
09-22 03:26Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.759999986$10.86
09-22 03:25Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.75$7.61
09-22 03:24Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.7487420328$29.76
09-22 03:23Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.9804047897$92.52
09-22 03:13Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.7589686415$129.00
09-22 03:08Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?SELL0.9666385997$181.96
09-22 02:53Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?BUY0.3699999985$69.65
09-20 16:00Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.7099999639$4.92
09-19 16:35Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.96$4.12
09-19 16:34Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.9290374242$133.40
09-19 16:34Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.8216879982$4.32
09-19 16:34Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.8399999075$1.09
09-18 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.9408705493$12.80