0xa738a20c8733f00b87ab9633f331cd05b040a520
0xa738a20c8733f00b87ab9633f331cd05b040a520
- Realised P&L
- $84.53
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 612
- Open portfolio
- $365.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded612
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.56at 0.384Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?
- +$47.27at 0.278Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$38.94at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 11?
- +$38.69at 0.565Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?
- +$31.97at 0.338Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.62 |
| 09-22 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7599999586 | $3.67 |
| 09-22 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.759999986 | $10.86 |
| 09-22 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.61 |
| 09-22 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7487420328 | $29.76 |
| 09-22 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9804047897 | $92.52 |
| 09-22 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7589686415 | $129.00 |
| 09-22 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? | SELL | 0.9666385997 | $181.96 |
| 09-22 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999985 | $69.65 |
| 09-20 16:00 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.7099999639 | $4.92 |
| 09-19 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.12 |
| 09-19 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9290374242 | $133.40 |
| 09-19 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8216879982 | $4.32 |
| 09-19 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8399999075 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9408705493 | $12.80 |