Rituximab
0xa72aa09e0377b68615e00b6dd1db0c3edb0193fd
- Realised P&L
- $-25.2k
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.360 | $901.25 | +$106.76 |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.978 | $508.56 | −$3.08 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.051 | $157.09 | +$54.45 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.438 | 0.437 | $117.55 | −$0.21 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.735 | $73.50 | −$8.50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.3k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$646.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.1kat 0.546Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$10.7kat 0.513Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.769Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$4.9kat 0.675Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova
- +$4.6kat 0.426Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:40 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4423846154 | $57.51 |
| 09-15 09:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.2k |
| 09-14 19:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.2k |
| 09-11 13:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.8k |
| 09-07 06:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $171.00 |
| 09-03 12:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $141.35 |
| 09-03 08:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.5k |
| 09-03 07:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $184.15 |
| 09-01 15:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.8k |
| 08-31 18:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $150.00 |
| 08-29 22:22 | Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? | BUY | 0.7080515482 | $432.40 |
| 08-29 18:25 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 08-29 18:25 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 08-29 18:25 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 08-29 18:25 | Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |