PolyBot

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Traders

0xa70d7bc683e1bfd35b826a8694adc2b149110f06

0xa70d7bc683e1bfd35b826a8694adc2b149110f06

Realised P&L
$8.16
Volume
$490.76
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$9.80

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · No0.4400.745$1.69+$0.69
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · Yes0.3200.465$1.45+$0.45
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No0.6600.685$1.04+$0.04
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? · Yes0.3400.315$0.93−$0.07
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes0.4600.395$0.86−$0.14
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? · No0.4600.395$0.86−$0.14
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No0.7600.580$0.76−$0.24
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6700.490$0.73−$0.27
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.8000.570$0.71−$0.29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.3200.135$0.42−$0.58
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.155$0.34−$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 22:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-12 14:23Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-12 06:23Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-11 22:22Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 14:21Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-11 06:18Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-10 22:15Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.32$1.00
10-10 13:36Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 05:29Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-09 19:26Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 11:24Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 03:24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-09 03:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:19Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 10:12Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00