PolyBot

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Traders

Imbleciar

0xa6f8220dfac596335d6b6719f2a2c7b451cc316d

Realised P&L
$61.8k
Volume
$1.53M
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3100.310$2.5k+$4.05
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1800.185$122.81+$3.32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00−$608.56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2140.000$0.00−$19.6k
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves · Los Angeles Dodgers0.1900.000$0.00−$95.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 20:46Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?BUY0.9710240094$6.5k
04-30 20:35US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.996$75.8k
03-22 20:29Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesSELL0.04$40.59
03-22 20:06Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesSELL0.77$888.03
03-22 20:04Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesSELL0.7525$2.3k
03-22 20:04Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesSELL0.7$2.1k
03-09 03:06Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.1$781.97
02-28 19:06Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.38$2.2k
02-28 10:11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.7$3.5k
02-28 06:48US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.1059410892$481.31
02-28 06:48Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY0.161$372.35
02-28 06:47US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.11$380.26
02-28 06:45US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.21006$1.1k
02-28 06:21Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.98$9.8k
02-12 16:54Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.954$8.4k