0xa6f1f052356fd17569ba7085a977a0a38174c74f
- Realised P&L
- $-4.13
- Volume
- $79.52
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $14.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.69at 0.540Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.40at 0.590Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.88at 0.690Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$0.45at 0.780Will Trump say "Fake News" during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:45 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:44 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 17:44 | Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899997205 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:01 | Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:58 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 06:31 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | BUY | 0.3259999074 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:30 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.6699996951 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:40 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 21:35 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-31 13:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 05:29 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 17:28 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |