0xa6ea55a08ed702185eecd009e2e76b16b43fa26d
0xa6ea55a08ed702185eecd009e2e76b16b43fa26d
- Realised P&L
- $-0.98
- Volume
- $208.40
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $6.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.855 | $1.97 | +$0.38 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.625 | $1.79 | +$0.79 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.870 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.705 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.075 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.67at 0.308Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27?
- +$3.38at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.19at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.07at 0.440Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:30 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:38 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:40 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:39 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:37 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:46 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:52 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:20 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |