PolyBot

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Traders

DavidP2001

0xa6d7bda18ac8cdf3ed381c3a1563bdc153895893

Realised P&L
$-6.61
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$319.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 7°C or below on October 16? · Yes0.0100.430$117.83+$115.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.9101.000$66.95+$6.02
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 8°C on October 16? · Yes0.0100.335$33.50+$32.50
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C on October 16? · Yes0.0100.335$33.50+$32.50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 14? · No0.9391.000$31.09+$1.88
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.7931.000$15.12+$3.12
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on October 16? · Yes0.0100.090$5.45+$4.85
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by October 31, 2026? · No0.0470.040$4.21−$0.79
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or higher on October 15? · Yes0.0110.036$3.33+$2.33
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 15? · Yes0.0380.065$2.28+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 16? · Yes0.0010.002$1.98+$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 15? · Yes0.0120.011$0.85−$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 14? · No0.1000.050$0.80−$0.80
Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 14? · No0.1000.050$0.50−$0.50
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 14? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 19:30Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.9199999939$6.00
10-14 19:30Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.94$28.63
10-14 19:29Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.89$17.80
10-14 19:27Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.85$8.50
10-14 19:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?SELL0.15$1.50
10-14 18:58Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.7933884298$12.00
10-14 18:40Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.27$2.70
10-14 18:38Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 14?BUY0.17$15.97
10-14 18:24Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 14?BUY0.94$4.70
10-14 18:23Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 14?BUY0.9374803074$9.76
10-14 18:23Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 14?BUY0.94$9.40
10-14 18:05Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 14?BUY0.1$1.00
10-14 16:20Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 16?BUY0.0010121457$1.00
10-14 16:13Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 14?BUY0.1$1.60
10-14 15:49Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.001$5.00