PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Crag2025

0xa6cd953814e1543692bf64b64eeb6a297876f008

Realised P&L
$127.30
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
1,278
Open portfolio
$33.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,278
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6360.414$6.52−$3.48
China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik · Alexander Bublik0.3800.375$4.93−$0.07
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic · Yunchaokete Bu0.2500.245$4.90−$0.10
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev · Tallon Griekspoor0.3900.375$4.81−$0.19
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur · Daria Snigur0.4080.375$4.60−$0.40
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$4.32−$0.68
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1000.045$2.25−$2.75
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes0.2100.260$1.24+$0.24
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.1500.017$0.22−$1.78
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina · Daria Kasatkina0.3500.001$0.01−$4.99
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti · Tallon Griekspoor0.2290.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Team WE0.0330.000$0.00−$1.00
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova · Maya Joint0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina · Daria Kasatkina0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:09China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.25$5.00
10-01 06:25China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikBUY0.3799999924$5.00
10-01 06:16China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey RublevBUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-01 06:14China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria SnigurBUY0.4077669824$5.00
10-01 06:12China Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina SiniakovaBUY0.3599999971$5.00
10-01 05:22China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaBUY0.3499999825$5.00
08-31 04:46US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Kristina LiutovaBUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-29 16:13Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise MertensBUY0.3699999674$5.00
08-29 14:05Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.0549999902$5.00
08-29 03:39Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.059999989$5.00
08-29 03:31US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu WangBUY0.1099999815$5.00
08-29 03:27US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana SierraBUY0.0899999845$5.00
08-29 03:10Monterrey Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Elise MertensBUY0.4299999767$3.50
08-22 14:40Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles SparksBUY0.3699999674$5.00
08-22 14:38Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyBUY0.4199999832$5.00