0xa6c6158eb01ffe00d59709ed7681b5b76b6b3945
0xa6c6158eb01ffe00d59709ed7681b5b76b6b3945
- Realised P&L
- $-43.95
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 309
- Open portfolio
- $158.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded309
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.45at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21?
- +$25.33at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?
- +$24.57at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20?
- +$18.51at 0.161Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18?
- +$17.45at 0.335Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:40 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 15:59 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.44 |
| 10-21 15:37 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21? | BUY | 0.726 | $4.40 |
| 10-21 15:37 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.64 |
| 10-21 15:33 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21? | BUY | 0.724 | $4.20 |
| 10-21 15:28 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 21? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.57 |
| 10-21 15:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 21? | SELL | 0.72 | $35.64 |
| 10-21 15:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 15:03 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.74 |
| 10-21 14:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | SELL | 0.91 | $23.26 |
| 10-21 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.52 |
| 10-21 00:03 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? | BUY | 0.031 | $1.50 |
| 10-20 22:46 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 22:36 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 22:33 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |