PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA6964d1A5b5b6DC51e6444B6530Da91462991d24-1763678571510

0xa6964d1a5b5b6dc51e6444b6530da91462991d24

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$382.8k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8460.954$2.0k+$225.15
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.915$673.44+$11.04
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.945$378.00+$6.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? · No0.9150.915$302.02$0.20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · No0.7280.765$285.46+$13.72
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.003$104.56$343.05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1170.080$101.46$48.55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? · No0.9100.964$46.40+$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 16:22Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$122.50
09-14 16:22Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.96$768.00
09-10 02:13Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9299999998$220.00
09-10 02:12Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.8056698572$164.14
08-14 04:44Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8599999998$400.00
08-14 04:43Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$30.50
08-04 17:57Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3799999993$260.00
08-04 17:56Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7229999999$300.00
08-04 17:54Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$364.50
08-04 17:54Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$139.77
07-31 17:44Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.94$564.00
07-24 10:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?SELL0.3$76.78
07-24 08:51Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$536.57
07-19 13:16Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0779999992$100.00
07-19 13:16Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1175400775$300.00