0xa692b407ebe0e9cb66ea3a1b15ef22d8c28886da
0xa692b407ebe0e9cb66ea3a1b15ef22d8c28886da
- Realised P&L
- $9.41
- Volume
- $317.75
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $4.89
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.655 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.585 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.480 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.505 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.225 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.25at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$6.12at 0.278Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 06:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:16 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:15 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:57 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:45 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:57 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:42 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:06 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:00 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:53 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:04 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 23:03 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:02 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:24 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |