Lightpass
0xa6879231db585117fffa695eb6c38bcc755353a5
- Realised P&L
- $-312.02
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $10.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.25at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
- +$116.43at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?
- +$113.31at 0.453Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
- +$92.02at 0.686Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?
- +$79.97at 0.448Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 18:02 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-29 14:38 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-29 14:37 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-29 12:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.61 |
| 09-29 00:56 | Will Solary win WSCI 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.50 |
| 09-29 00:55 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.20 |
| 09-28 01:25 | Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $8.16 |
| 09-26 21:08 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-26 19:54 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 09-26 15:43 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.688 | $10.56 |
| 09-26 09:42 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 09-25 22:50 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.419 | $8.38 |
| 09-24 11:49 | Will DR Congo win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group E? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 09-24 10:59 | Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.83 |
| 09-24 10:36 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? | BUY | 0.476 | $9.52 |