AlanEdwards9594
0xa68049380b13bd1e61b694fbda281b21597dc13f
- Realised P&L
- $-919.07
- Volume
- $93.9k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.930 | $1.5k | +$190.92 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.190 | 0.200 | $119.40 | +$5.97 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $59.00 | +$14.75 |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.925 | $34.23 | +$11.29 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.011 | $0.01 | −$0.07 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.02 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.28at 0.260Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?
- +$206.33at 0.530Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$168.00at 0.500Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
- +$141.68at 0.560Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
- +$121.68at 0.280Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 15:58 | Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.08 | $20.96 |
| 04-24 04:15 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.3k |
| 04-21 08:58 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.66 |
| 04-21 08:57 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.22 | $16.94 |
| 04-21 08:56 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.22 | $32.34 |
| 04-21 08:54 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.22 | $60.28 |
| 04-21 08:45 | Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.28 | $165.48 |
| 04-08 21:59 | Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.5 | $426.50 |
| 04-08 21:45 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.25 | $137.75 |
| 03-31 03:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | SELL | 0.303 | $89.69 |
| 03-31 03:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | SELL | 0.303 | $35.75 |
| 03-31 03:11 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | SELL | 0.82 | $37.72 |
| 03-31 03:10 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | SELL | 0.82 | $104.14 |
| 03-31 03:09 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | SELL | 0.82 | $112.34 |
| 03-31 03:08 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? | SELL | 0.82 | $121.36 |